Professor Paul Miller, professor of International Affairs, writes about how the United States’ current and recent foreign policy is alienating its European allies, both under Obama and Trump, and could lead to the end of the liberal international order.
Professor Victor Cha, professor of Government, argues that Trump’s desire for victory may end in only partial denuclearization and that he may offer some concessions in advance in order to win from his perspective, breaking from past US diplomatic efforts with North Korea, only making the United States more unsafe.
Ambassador Frank Lavin (SFS’79) talks about Germany and the United States’ relationship at the NATO summit, the role of Trump in this transforming relationship, and the impact of the recent tariffs.
Professor Victor Cha, professor of Government, writes about how analysis of the current situation in North Korea, state media, and the lack of action taken, exhibit that North Korea has no true intention of total denuclearization.
Professor Kelly McFarland, Director of the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy, compares Trump’s brutish approach to international relations to leaders like Kaiser Wilhelm, Saddam Hussein, and President Theodore Roosevelt.
Professor Abraham Newman, professor of Government, explains how the operational breakdown of the relationship between the United States and Europe on a day to day basis is caused by the Trump administration’s lack of clarity and rapidly decreasing amount of trust in the United States.
Professor Michael Green, Associate Professor of Modern and Contemporary Japanese Politics and Foreign Policy, outlines the historical, unstable nature of security assurances and argues that though the United States should not abandon a security assurance as a diplomatic strategy in regards to North Korea, it should not imagine that a security assurance alone will lead to denuclearization.
Professor Paul Miller, professor of International Affairs, argues that bad diplomacy may be worse than no diplomacy and that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and the Trump administration are trying to quickly rule out the possibility of diplomacy and move towards war.
Elliot Silverberg (MASIA’20) gives an overview of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party’s leadership election this September and the mistrust that surrounds Abe both because of his Finance Minister and a feeling of lack of representation in his leadership.
Dr. Kelly McFarland, Director of Programs and Research at the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy, calls on the international community to take action in Yemen and warns that if it does not, the war will only intensify further.
Steven Bavaria (SFS’69) argues that in order to pursue the America First policy proposed by the Trump administration, the United States must first offer something similar to a Marshall Plan to encourage investment and business in Central America as a step towards immigration reform.
Arsalan Iftikhar, Senior Research Fellow for the Bridge Initiative, writes about how the 5-4 Supreme Court decision to uphold the Muslim Ban legitimizes racism and Islamophobia and how it follows other court cases like those of Dred Scott and Korematsu in United States history.
Professor Oriana Skylar Mastro, Associate Professor of Security Studies, discusses China’s successful leveraging of power in regards to North Korea and the relationship between the two countries.
Kwadwo Boateng (MSFS’19) writes about rising political tensions in the DRC as concerns arise about the upcoming December election. He discusses the role of political violence, particularly interethnic conflict, in these elections.
Dr. Elizabeth Ferris, Director of the Institute for the Study of International Migration, writes about how countries need to share responsibility for caring for refugees, the importance of clarifying what this responsibility exactly is, and the inclusion of internal displacement as a crisis in these conversations.
Professor Susan Martin writes about how rigid deterrence of asylum seekers at the border today and new Trump administration policies on immigration, particularly forced migration, can be compared to events like the rejection of the St. Louis, a German ship with Jewish refugees that was not granted asylum and therefore led to the death of almost half of the passengers in the Holocaust.
Dr. Kelly McFarland, Director of Programs and Research at the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy, published a piece giving an overview of what’s happening in Yemen during the fourth year of its Civil War. He explains the origins of the conflict and the role of outside intervention.
Professor Nicole Bibbins Sedaca appeared in Foreign Policy to argue for further consideration of North Korean human rights abuses. She stated that in addition to promoting denuclearization at the upcoming summit, “the U.S. team should prepare to address the country’s systemic violations of human rights.”
Victor Cha, D.S. Song-KF Professorship in Government and International Affairs, described his vision for a new approach to North Korea in a Foreign Affairs op-ed. Cha argues that his strategy focusing mainly on coercion would allow the U.S. to maintain its “center of gravity” in the region regardless of results.
Professor Oriana Skylar Mastro, assistant SFS professor, explores China’s ability to end a war once it starts. Mastro concludes that China possesses characteristics that may make it difficult for the country to disengage from an already-started military conflict.
Lisa Burgoa (SFS’19) contributed to an op-ed recently published by The Hill that argues for shift toward a more pro-business relationship with Cuba. “A pro-business posture allows for increased commercial relations (beyond cigars) that would be more effective in countering the interests of the Cuban military’s monopoly in business.”
SFS professor Daniel Byman has published an op-ed which explains that, by refusing the engage Hamas in talks, the US has only strengthened their ability to derail broader Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. “As long as Hamas controls Gaza, the US and Israel must engage with it,” writes Byman.
SFS professor Kathleen McNamara co-wrote an essay for Foreign Affairs which advocates for a more flexible EU governance structure. McNamara and her co-author argue that the EU should accommodate varying sorts of membership according to the democratic preferences of each member-state.
Prof. Michael Green, Director of the Asian Studies Program at SFS, explains that recent positive signals from North Korea’s leadership have stoked euphoric hopes for a “peace mechanism” to encourage denuclearization of the peninsula. However, these hopes may only serve to undermine the presence of US forces without delivering real peace.
SFS professor Abraham Newman has co-authored an op-ed in the Washington Post which suggests that President Trump’s inconsistent enforcement undermine the country’s global economic influence. “The United States is uniquely able to impose its will on foreign firms, but by behaving so unpredictably, it risks not only the U.S. sanctions regime but also the primacy of the U.S.-based financial infrastructure.”
SFS professor Shireen Hunter suggests that Iran needs to come to terms with the unfavorable realities on international relations post-US withdrawal from the nuclear deal. She says that the Iranian government should liberalize policies to spur national growth.
Elizabeth Stanley, a professor in the Security Studies Program at SFS, explains that the bilateral nature of the current North Korea-South Korea talks is historically significant: Previously, the Koreas acted as mere clients to their more powerful respective allies.
Victor Cha, SFS Professor in the Asian Studies Program, thinks the recent meeting between North and South Korea has only raised the stakes for the expected summit in May or June. “This meeting will be a clear test of the president’s self-proclaimed negotiating skills, and the stakes could not be higher because failure would mean the end of diplomacy and a return to discussions of military options,” Cha says.
“In a world of increased confrontation over both trade and security questions, Western companies may find that they are faced with massive disruptions, leading to a partial unraveling of globalization”, argues SFS Professor Abraham Newman in an op-ed for The Washington Post.
SFS Professor Brenda Shaffer sees the high oil price both as a good thing and a bad thing for the U.S. as the biggest oil producer. “The price rise gives an overall boost to U.S. economic growth”, but it also means “higher gas prices at the pump for U.S. consumers”, adds Shaffer.